Question

Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction33%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.0

Community Peer Score

7.7

median 33.0%mean 31.5%

Authors:

gjm

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

European Union

Conservative Party (UK)

Prime Minister of the UK

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

gjm

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

European Union

Conservative Party (UK)

Prime Minister of the UK

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Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

20%