Question

Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

36.7

Community Peer Score

3.0

median 25.0%mean 28.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Jared Kushner

Russian interference in the 2016 US elections

Robert Mueller

Michael Flynn

Donald Trump

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

12%

Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026?

65%

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2025-12-15

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Jared Kushner

Russian interference in the 2016 US elections

Robert Mueller

Michael Flynn

Donald Trump

Behind the legal tactics Trump is using to dodge justice for January 6

Raw Story•Sep 17, 2024

Apparent would-be Trump assassin faces two gun charges. Additional charges could come.

MSNBC•Sep 17, 2024

IRS whistleblowers file $20M defamation lawsuit against Hunter Biden’s attorney: ‘Incredible and malicious harm’

New York Post•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

12%

Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026?

65%

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2025-12-15