Question
When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction
May 2032
(28 Jul 2029 - >Jan 2035)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 28 Jul 2029 | — |
| median | May 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2035 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 31.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 26, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 26, 2020