M

Question

Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?

Resolved :Yes
14
51
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction76%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
62.6
Community Peer Score
3.6
median 76.0%mean 73.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
SimonM
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Iowa Electronic Markets
Brier score
2020 US presidential election
PredictIt
FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

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