Question

A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?

Resolved :Yes

18 comments18

Total Forecasters83

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-94.8

Community Peer Score

42.8

median 30.0%mean 29.0%

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

John David Jackson (physicist)

Quantum electrodynamics

Physics

Muon-catalyzed fusion

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Particle physics

Quantum mechanics

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

2040-01-20

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

18%

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2040-12-25

Comments

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