Question

Will Trump drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction
15%
(8% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.4
Community Peer Score
5.1
Authors:
Opened:Sep 17, 2020
Closes:Sep 28, 2020
Resolves:Oct 14, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2020