Question
How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
6.4 states
(5.16 states - 7.99 states)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 5.16 | — |
| median | 6.397 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.985 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >22 | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Oct 8, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Oct 8, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Oct 8, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Oct 8, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2020