Question

Will there be an authentic leaked tape that costs Trump major public support in 2020?

Resolved :No

22 comments22

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.8

Community Peer Score

8.7

median 2.0%mean 4.5%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

US House of Representatives

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

15%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

12%

Before November 5, 2024, will the State of New York seize any of Donald Trump's real estate holdings to satisfy the judgement in the NY civil fraud case?

Comments

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