Question

How many DALYs will be caused by outdoor air pollution in 2030?

Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
112M DALYs
(98M DALYs - 129M DALYs)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<50M0.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%97.96M
median112M
upper 75%128.7M
Upper bound
>130M23.4%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 22, 2020