Question

Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters375

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

76.3

Community Peer Score

18.9

median 20.0%mean 23.6%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Lockheed Martin Compact Fusion Reactor

Aerospace engineering

Physics

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Lockheed Martin P-791

Skunkworks

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2050-06-26

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2040-12-25

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

21%

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