Question
When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction
30 Jun 2023
(23 Jun 2022 - 06 Mar 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 23 Jun 2022 | — |
| median | 30 Jun 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 06 Mar 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Aug 2030 | 4.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2020
Closed:Dec 31, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2020
Closed:Dec 31, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2020