Question

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43.9%

median 43.9%mean 41.3%

Authors:

alexrjl

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

Will GiveWell recommend 1 or more grants to support breastfeeding promotion or denote it a "top charity" before 2027?

43%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

51%

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Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

Will GiveWell recommend 1 or more grants to support breastfeeding promotion or denote it a "top charity" before 2027?

43%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

51%