Question
When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
Nov 2030
(20 Apr 2028 - Feb 2034)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20 Apr 2028 | — |
| median | Nov 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2039 | 2.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2020