Question

[Short Fuse] Will the UK's Intelligence and Security committee publish the report into Russian interference by the end of July?

Resolved :Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction97%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.8

Community Peer Score

1.6

median 97.0%mean 94.9%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

Russia EXPELS six British diplomats accused of 'spying and sabotage' as relations hit new low and Putin threatens 'war' over aiding Ukraine

Daily Mail•Sep 13, 2024

Why is Putin expelling more British diplomats?

Spectator (UK)•Sep 13, 2024

Russia expels six British diplomats it accuses of spying and sabotage

Independent•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%