Question

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
23.8 states
(16.6 states - 39.3 states)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%16.56
median23.82
upper 75%39.28
Upper bound
>5013.3%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Sep 11, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jul 11, 2046
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020