Question
How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
23.8 states
(16.6 states - 39.3 states)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 16.56 | — |
median | 23.82 | — |
upper 75% | 39.28 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>50 | 13.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Sep 11, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jul 11, 2046
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 29, 2020
Closes:Sep 11, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jul 11, 2046
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 31, 2020