Question

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction

1.42%

(0.444% - 13.5%)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	0.4435%	1.423%	13.49%
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	0.4435%	—
median	1.423%	—
upper 75%	13.49%	—

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Jul 17, 2020

Closes:

Jun 5, 2133

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2200

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 19, 2020

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Cryopreservation

Medicine

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

11.4