Question

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Total Forecasters485
Community Prediction
23%
(13% - 35%)

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50%
community: 23%
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Opened:Aug 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 2, 2020