Question

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction2028-06-17

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2020-01-09

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01-01

...

3.0%

2024-10-30 05:00

2028-06-17 16:19

2033-11-15 04:10

6.7%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?

73%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

56%

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