Question

Will the US see widespread rioting in 2020?

Resolved :No

51 comments51

Total Forecasters149

Community Prediction33%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

28.7

Community Peer Score

20.7

median 33.0%mean 33.0%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

George Floyd

1992 Los Angeles riots

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

10%

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

61%

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

George Floyd

1992 Los Angeles riots

Biden admin aims to prevent Capitol riot repeat with Super Bowl levels of security for Congress on Jan 6, 2025

Independent•Sep 12, 2024

Feds Ratchet Up Security For Electoral Vote Certification On January 6

Daily Wire•Sep 13, 2024

Secret Service announces new security plans to prevent another Jan. 6 riot

MSNBC•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

10%

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

61%