Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?
13
56 comments
56
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
230
Community Prediction
60%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 60%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
60.0%
mean
58.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Neuroscience
Consciousness
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Artificial consciousness
Psychology
Artificial general intelligence
Hard problem of consciousness
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Neuroscience
Consciousness
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Artificial consciousness
Psychology
Artificial general intelligence
Hard problem of consciousness
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
Do Large Language Models Have a Subconscious?
Psychology Today
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI’s Big Reset
Atlantic
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
Do Large Language Models Have a Subconscious?
Psychology Today
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI’s Big Reset
Atlantic
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
50%
Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
25%
Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?
1%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
50%
Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
25%
Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?
1%
Show More Questions