Question

By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-35.5

Community Peer Score

19.6

median 54.0%mean 50.4%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Playing God Series

Environment & Climate

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

40%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

51%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

Comments

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