Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?
18
16 comments
16
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
47
Community Prediction
696
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
...
...
3.4%
290
696.1
1.38k
4.1%
Background Info
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Outline of space science
Astronomy
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Aerospace engineering
Super Heavy
Physics
Elon Musk
US Consumer Price Index
Falcon 9
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Outline of space science
Astronomy
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Aerospace engineering
Super Heavy
Physics
Elon Musk
US Consumer Price Index
Falcon 9
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?
613
What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050?
221k
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?
613
What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050?
221k
Show More Questions
News Match
Polaris Dawn Sets New Space Altitude Record
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
TechCrunch Space: The dawn of Polaris
TechCrunch
•
Sep 17, 2024
Air Force wants NGAD to cost no more than an F-35. Is that even possible?
Defense One
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Polaris Dawn Sets New Space Altitude Record
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
TechCrunch Space: The dawn of Polaris
TechCrunch
•
Sep 17, 2024
Air Force wants NGAD to cost no more than an F-35. Is that even possible?
Defense One
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch