Question
Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters42
Community Prediction
54%
(50% - 60%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
11.5
Community Peer Score
1.0
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2020
Closes:May 4, 2020
Resolves:May 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2020
Closes:May 4, 2020
Resolves:May 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2020