Question

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction56

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>193

...

30.24

55.98

81.46

1.7%

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

United Nations

Uruguay

Drug Enforcement Administration

Law

Medicine

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Pharmacology

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

6.35

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

United Nations

Uruguay

Drug Enforcement Administration

Law

Medicine

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Pharmacology

Could America’s divide on marijuana be coming to an end?

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Study Shows Older Generation Gets It By Ditching Toxic Products For The Good Stuff

Daily Caller•Sep 13, 2024

Both Trump and Harris Agree, It’s Time to Stop Arresting People for Marijuana

CounterPunch•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

6.35

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?

20%