Question

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 11.5%

Authors:

doot

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nobel Prize in Physics

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

13%

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

62%

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

doot

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nobel Prize in Physics

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

13%

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

62%

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

10%