Question
What proportion of Senate Republican incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
Resolved:20Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
20.5
(13.7 - 28.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 13.73 | — |
median | 20.45 | — |
upper 75% | 28.36 | — |
What was the final result?20
Community Baseline Score
59.8
Community Peer Score
9.2
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020