Question

What proportion of Senate Republican incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?

Resolved:20
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
20.5
(13.7 - 28.4)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%13.73
median20.45
upper 75%28.36

What was the final result?20

Community Baseline Score
59.8
Community Peer Score
9.2
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020