Question

Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?

Resolved :No

72 comments72

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-128.5

Community Peer Score

3.1

median 40.0%mean 44.2%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Recession

National Center for Health Statistics

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

4.2e-1

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Recession

National Center for Health Statistics

The Big Collapse Awaits

Lew Rockwell•Sep 13, 2024

Americans Are Worried About Economy, Recession, Layoffs, Stock Market

Business Insider•Sep 17, 2024

Suicide prevention techniques make no difference as US sees increase in people taking their own lives

Daily Mail•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

4.2e-1