Question

Will a US civilian intentionally be shot and killed by US military personnel acting in the line of duty on domestic soil before 2021?

Resolved :Yes

27 comments27

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction74%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 74%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-26.6

Community Peer Score

5.9

median 74.0%mean 69.2%

Authors:

JaipalTuttle

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Martial law

United States National Guard

List of incidents of civil unrest in the United States

US Armed Forces

United States

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?

27%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

JaipalTuttle

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Martial law

United States National Guard

List of incidents of civil unrest in the United States

US Armed Forces

United States

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By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?

27%