Question
When will China legalise same-sex marriage?
Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction
Jul 2042
(May 2032 - Nov 2071)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2032 | — |
| median | Jul 2042 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2071 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 17.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2020