Question

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction

45%

(23% - 77%)

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50%

community: 45%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 17, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2150

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2020

Health & Pandemics

Longevity escape velocity

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Sep 2050

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

95%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%