Question

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction43%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43%

median 43.0%mean 43.1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Longevity escape velocity

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2058-02-03

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

89%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

46%

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Longevity escape velocity

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Daily Mail•Sep 13, 2024

Blood, sweat and testes: rich men have always wanted to live for ever

Guardian•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2058-02-03

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

89%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

46%