Question
What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026?
Total Forecasters2
Community Prediction
37.1%
(36.7% - 37.3%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30% | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 36.74% | — |
| median | 37.06% | — |
| upper 75% | 37.3% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >45% | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025