Question

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

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Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction

5.7%

(4% - 18%)

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50%

community: 5.7%

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Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

May 1, 2025

Closes:

Jul 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2027

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

10%

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

53%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

15%

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

May 1, 2025

Closes:

Jul 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2027

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

10%

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

53%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

15%