Question
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
Total Forecasters95
Community Prediction
4.81 states
(2.81 states - 7.64 states)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.815 | — |
| median | 4.807 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.644 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 5.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2020