Question

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Y (PTC) clean energy production tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

5
55 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 51

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45Y outcomeMe
2025-2026 sunset w/o safe harbor
11.4%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor
21.8%
2027-2028 sunset w/o safe harbor
8.6%
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor
13.6%
2029-2031 sunset w/o safe harbor
3.9%
2029-2031 sunset w/ safe harbor
5.9%
No sunset reduction before 2026
34.8%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2025