Question

Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction

80%

(75% - 90%)

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50%

community: 80%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 10, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026?

32.5%

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026?

67%

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026?

37.1

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 10, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026?

32.5%

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026?

67%

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026?

37.1