Question
How many people will work for the US federal government in November 2026?
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
2681 thousand people
(2583 thousand people - 2788 thousand people)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2200 | 1.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2583 | — |
| median | 2681 | — |
| upper 75% | 2788 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3200 | 1.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 4, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 1, 2026
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 4, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 1, 2026