Question
What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?
Total Forecasters327
Community Prediction
9.6%
(7.65% - 11.4%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 7.655% | — |
| median | 9.601% | — |
| upper 75% | 11.39% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >12% | 19.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027