Question

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at any point during the 2020s?

Resolved :Yes

177 comments177

Total Forecasters347

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-178.7

Community Peer Score

25.9

median 99.0%mean 97.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Forbes

Elon Musk

Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be the richest person in the world by 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Forbes

Elon Musk

Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Elon Musk Owes His Success to Coming in Second Place

Scientific American•Sep 13, 2024

Oracle Rally Briefly Propels Larry Ellison To World's Second-Richest

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire very soon

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

16%