Question

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters93

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 97.0%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?

51%

Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?

38%

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will the toughest problem in maths ever be solved?

Spectator (UK)•Sep 12, 2024

When Will The Milky Way Smash Into The Andromeda Galaxy? It May Already Be Underway, Say Scientists

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

Hopes for new physics dashed by ordinary-looking W bosons at CERN

New Scientist•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?

51%

Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?

38%

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%