Question

Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters135

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 2.6%

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Medicare for All Caucus

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Democratic Party (US)

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

31%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

56%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Medicare for All Caucus

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Democratic Party (US)

Kamala Harris was great in the debate. Will that be enough to win? | Bernie Sanders

Guardian•Sep 12, 2024

Bob Casey Once Touted Healthcare Reform Vilified as ‘Trojan Horse’ for Medicare for All

Breitbart•Sep 13, 2024

The Campaign Issue That Isn’t: Health Care Reform

New York Times•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

31%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

56%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

50%