Question

When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

5
8
49 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 49

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PeriodMe
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0.1%
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
5.4%
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
20.3%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
19.6%
Not before 2026
54.6%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025