Question

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

45 comments45

Total Forecasters331

Community Prediction2042-12-17

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2035-12-11 06:43

2042-12-17 14:25

2056-08-21 03:08

6.8%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Human mission to Mars

Colonization of Mars

When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-09-22

When will the first tourist land on Mars?

2050-01-02

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Human mission to Mars

Colonization of Mars

Visible aurora spotted for the first time on Mars by NASA rover

New Scientist•Sep 12, 2024

Astronauts Orbital Flight Demo Marks A Giant Leap Toward Mars Missions

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

With Mars Sample Return Delay, ESA’s Rover Launch Has Fresh Urgency

Forbes•Sep 18, 2024

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When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-09-22

When will the first tourist land on Mars?

2050-01-02