Question

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

Total Forecasters368
Community Prediction
May 2043
(May 2036 - May 2054)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%May 2036
medianMay 2043
upper 75%May 2054
Upper bound
>21006.2%
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Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 25, 2020