Question

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

49 comments49

Total Forecasters268

Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

median 57.0%mean 56.1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

80%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

46%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

Blood, sweat and testes: rich men have always wanted to live for ever

Guardian•Sep 13, 2024

Aging speeds up 'massively' at two points in one's lifetime, Stanford study finds: ‘Abrupt changes’

FOX News•Sep 17, 2024

Common drug reverses aging in monkeys in potential longevity breakthrough

Daily Mail•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

80%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

46%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52%