Question

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction2032-08-31

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2039-12-30

...

2029-03-25 21:12

2032-08-31 15:28

2037-10-25 23:01

17.7%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Public health

World Health Organization

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

30%

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