Question

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction51%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 51%

median 51.0%mean 48.1%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

40%

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

First Stage of Gaza Polio Campaign Ending With High Hopes: Israel-Hamas War Live Updates

New York Times•Sep 12, 2024

U.N. Says Gaza’s Anti-Polio Campaign Is Ending With High Hopes

New York Times•Sep 13, 2024

The latest on where Gaza's polio came from — and the race to contain it

NPR Online News•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

40%

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

30%