Question
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction
40.6 babies
(4.65 babies - 1135 babies)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.647 | — |
| median | 40.59 | — |
| upper 75% | 1135 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1M | 3.8% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2019