M

Question

By November 2020 will a prediction made by a prediction aggregation platform be quoted in the NYT or WaPo on an issue not in politics, sports, or prizes?

Resolved :No
21
37
Total Forecasters156
Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-9.4
Community Peer Score
6.3
median 40.0%mean 40.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Foresight 2020 Contest
Metaculus
The New York Times
Prediction market
The Washington Post
The Good Judgment Project
PredictIt

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