Question
When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
01 Nov 2025
(01 Aug 2025 - >31 Dec 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 01 Nov 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2025 | 27.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025